This is the single most common preflop all-in in No-Limit Hold'em. The pocket pair AA holds around 86.6% equity against AQs's two live overcards. AQs needs to pair up or complete a straight or flush draw to come from behind.
AA vs AQs Win Probability
This is the single most common preflop all-in in No-Limit Hold'em. The pocket pair AA holds around 86.6% equity against AQs's two live overcards. AQs needs to pair up or complete a straight or flush draw to come from behind.
Across 30,000 Monte Carlo simulations, AA wins 86.6% of the time and AQs wins 12.1%, with the pot split 1.2% of the time. This is calculated by dealing all remaining cards randomly through the river and tallying the results.
Both hands are held fixed while the remaining cards are dealt randomly 30,000 times, recording a winner each time. The margin of error versus the true probability is typically within ±0.3 percentage points.
Over the long run, the hand with higher equity profits from repeating this spot. In an actual game you'll also need to factor in stack sizes, your opponent's range, and tournament ICM — this calculator shows pure card-vs-card probability only.
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