AJs and ATs share the same top card, but AJs holds the better kicker in this classic domination matchup, putting it far ahead at roughly 66% equity. ATs's real outs are limited to running pairs or a low-probability runner-runner draw.
AJs vs ATs Win Probability
AJs and ATs share the same top card, but AJs holds the better kicker in this classic domination matchup, putting it far ahead at roughly 66% equity. ATs's real outs are limited to running pairs or a low-probability runner-runner draw.
Across 30,000 Monte Carlo simulations, AJs wins 66% of the time and ATs wins 26.6%, with the pot split 7.4% of the time. This is calculated by dealing all remaining cards randomly through the river and tallying the results.
Both hands are held fixed while the remaining cards are dealt randomly 30,000 times, recording a winner each time. The margin of error versus the true probability is typically within ±0.3 percentage points.
Over the long run, the hand with higher equity profits from repeating this spot. In an actual game you'll also need to factor in stack sizes, your opponent's range, and tournament ICM — this calculator shows pure card-vs-card probability only.
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